Sunday, December 6, 2015


"Dunning-Kruger" -- what the hell is that and what does it have to do with you, me, JFNA? 

Read on, friends:
"The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias wherein relatively unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability to be much higher than is accurate. Dunning and Kruger attributed the bias to the metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their own ineptitude and evaluate their own ability accurately. Their research also suggests that conversely, highly skilled individuals may underestimate their relative competence, erroneously assuming that tasks that are easy for them also are easy for others.The bias was first experimentally observed by David Dunning and Justin Kruger of Cornell University in 1999.
Dunning and Kruger have postulated that the effect is the result of internal illusion in the unskilled, and external misperception in the skilled: 'The miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others.'"* (emphasis added)
Sounds right to me. You?

Yep, "illusory superiority" "...the metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their own ineptitude and evaluate their own ability accurately." Hello!! But, it takes two to tango, doesn't it? Thus, for one "suffering" ("enjoying"?) the Dunning-Kruger effect, there is the requirement that another, a third party, recognizes it and does something about it.

Look, nothing more needs to be said...does it? Yet, here we are...and here we remain.


* For more, visit Wikipedia, the source for this definition


Anonymous said...

Wow.....what took you so long to come across this?
And Richard, you are correct....nothing more needs to be said about how we've gotten here.
So, using Jerry's favorite rallying-cry (that he attributes to Les Wexner during their first one-on-one), 'What got us here, won't get us there'...........what's to be done?

Anonymous said...

More important is the who got us here, won't get us there.

I have all due respect for the trained professionals who lead most of our communities.

And without wanting to name names, Jerry Silverman, is not among the ranks of Jewish Communal professionals, other than by virtue of his getting a paycheck.

This was a worthwhile but risky experiment. It failed.

Long since time to move on.

Negotiate and pay out his contract and let's get back to work.

It's Chanukah, throw him out, and let's get on with the rededication.

Anonymous said...

He never belonged in the position he has; not from Day 1. Yet, there he sits. He believes he is protected by the Large City Execs and maybe he is. Or he is protected by inertia. One way or another he aim't going nowhere; because where else would someone take him with his record and pay him $800,000 a year? Yeshiva U.?